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Bierman’s Best Bets – College Football Week 10

Hard to believe we’re already at Week 10 of the college football season – where did the time go, Sandman Nation? After a tough 2-5 week with a handful of close calls, we’re still above .500 for the season and gearing up for a big rebound with some good games on the board. A breakout week feels imminent, so let’s dive in and make it count!


Mississippi (-6.5) at Arkansas (*All lines are from DraftKings Sportsbook)

This matchup features two teams that have been tough to nail down. Ole Miss began the season as a Top 10 team and brings a high-powered offense that averages over 500 yards per game, ranking in the top three nationally. Their defense, too, sits among the top 15, and can step up when needed. Despite the disappointment of two losses, the Rebels have fallen short by only a combined six points, with three-point defeats to both Kentucky and LSU.

On the other side, Arkansas has been unpredictable, alternating strong performances with some off games, landing at 5-3 but an impressive 6-2 ATS. Their offense ranks in the top 20, yet their defense remains below average.

While Ole Miss may have faced some setbacks, they’ve actually played better on the road, with two blowout wins and a narrow loss in Death Valley. I expect that to continue and given the line under a touchdown, I like the Rebels to come out of Fayetteville with a comfortable win.

The Pick: Mississippi -6.5


Toledo at Eastern Michigan (+8)

These are two closely matched teams, making Eastern Michigan’s 8-point home underdog status very appealing. The Eagles boast the stronger offense, averaging nearly 400 yards per game, while Toledo’s defense has been decent but not dominant. A key factor here is Eastern Michigan’s ability to protect the ball, averaging less than one turnover per game. Back on their home turf in Ypsilanti after a tough loss to Akron, the Eagles—3-1 at home—are in a good spot to cover. Meanwhile, the Rockets may have lingering distractions after their recent loss to their rival, Bowling Green, potentially impacting their focus. This line feels high, so I’ll gladly take the points with Eastern Michigan.

The Pick: Eastern Michigan +8


UCLA at Nebraska (-7.5)

I absolutely love this game and the line that comes with it. While Nebraska has had a couple of tough losses to top-15 teams Indiana and Ohio State, they’re now back home in Lincoln, taking on a UCLA team that has struggled all season. The Bruins may have edged out Rutgers and had a bye to recharge, but with a 2-5 record and one of the weakest offenses in the nation—barely hitting 300 yards per game—they now face Nebraska’s top-10 defense. The Cornhuskers, fueled by their Sea of Red fans, should control this game from start to finish. I expect Nebraska to dismantle the Bruins with ease, so lay the points with confidence.

The Pick: Nebraska -7.5


Coastal Carolina (-4.5) at Troy

Coastal Carolina sits at 4-3 this season, with their three losses coming against solid opponents in Virginia, James Madison, and Louisiana. Their defense has struggled, but they’re up against one of the nation’s weakest offenses in the Trojans, which should ease the challenge. The Chanticleers’ offense is capable enough, and the recent quarterback change to Noah Kim, who performed well in relief against Louisiana, could bring a new spark. With a line this small against one of the weakest teams in the country, I feel confident taking Coastal Carolina and giving the points here.

The Pick: Coastal Carolina -4.5


Wyoming at New Mexico (-7)

Last week’s New Mexico-Colorado State game left me scratching my head, with the Rams coming out on top 17-6. It wasn’t so much that the Lobos lost, but the fact that they only managed to put up six points was unexpected. This same team had racked up 152 points over their prior three games! Now, New Mexico returns home to face one of the worst teams in the nation, the Wyoming Cowboys, who sit at 115th in offense and 112th in defense. While New Mexico’s defense has its issues, their offense remains among the top 5 in the country in total yards gained. I expect them to move the ball effectively against a weak Wyoming defense. With the spread at just a touchdown, I’ll confidently take the Lobos to cover.

The Pick: New Mexico -7


Louisville (+11) at Clemson

Clemson has bounced back well since their opening-week defeat to Georgia, now sitting at 6-1. However, it’s worth noting that none of their wins have come against teams with winning records. Louisville arrives at 5-3, with all three losses coming by just one touchdown to strong opponents in Notre Dame, SMU, and Miami (FL). While Clemson boasts a top 5 offense, Louisville holds their own offensively, averaging 445 yards per game. Defensively, Clemson has a slight advantage, but with an 11-point spread, this will be a tighter contest than expected in Death Valley. I like the Cardinals with the points in this one.

The Pick: Louisville +11

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