A 2-1 record may not be flashy, but it’s consistent and keeps us in the green. We’re now sitting at 15-11 for the season and have an intriguing three-game lineup this week. We’re definitely taking a contrarian stance, likely going against the public on all three picks. This week, we’re backing three underdogs, each facing strong teams with winning records. But each of these underdogs has its appeal for different reasons. Check out the details below, and enjoy the games, Sandman Nation—playoff season will be here before we know it!
Titans (+7.5) at Chargers (*All lines are from DraftKings Sportsbook)
Let’s be clear: the Titans are not a strong team. They squeaked out an overtime win against an even worse Patriots team, 20-17. That said, I do prefer Mason Rudolph over Will Levis at QB, and Tony Pollard’s ability to keep the chains moving helps their offense. Both offenses are mediocre and closely matched in total yards. But the Titans boast the NFL’s top-ranked defense, allowing just 269 yards per game. The Chargers, fresh off a solid win over the Browns, are the better team and should win at home. However, with a 7.5-point spread, that’s a lot to cover in a close, low-scoring matchup. I’m taking the Titans to keep it within a touchdown.
The Pick: Titans +7.5
Eagles at Cowboys (+7)
It pains me to back the Cowboys here because, let’s be honest, they’re not a good team. Statistically, there’s no argument— the Eagles outclass them in both offense and defense. But this is a fierce rivalry, a divisional game between teams that genuinely dislike each other. For Dallas, this game is make-or-break for their season. I hope Dak isn’t seriously injured and he can return for this game. But if he can’t, I liked what I saw from backup Cooper Rush and he may be able to provide a spark to get this offense going in a different way. This pick is all gut – no stats – because in a game like this, a touchdown spread for a home underdog is just too much. Give me the Cowboys and the points.
The Pick: Cowboys +7
Lions at Texans (+4)
On paper, this one should favor the Lions, and for good reason. Dan Campbell’s squad is firing on all cylinders, leading the NFC and looking like they could be headed to their first Super Bowl. Their offense is loaded, ranking #1 overall, and they seem to have zero weaknesses. But heading to Houston presents some challenges. The Texans, while not spectacular, are solid and capable of putting up points. What really stands out here is their defense—second in the league in yardage allowed, and likely to frustrate the Lions just enough to keep this close. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few turnovers swing things in Houston’s favor. The Lions may still pull off the win, but I’m taking the Texans +4 as a home underdog with plenty of fight.
The Pick: Texans +4
