Alright, Sandman Nation, we’re sitting at an even 8-8 for the season, but we’re confident heading into this weekend with three strong picks. First, we’re heading back to London, putting our faith in the Jags to bring home a win overseas. We’re also going back to the well with the Titans, hoping for a quarterback change. Lastly, we’re looking at a game that promises to be a defensive battle. Should be another fun weekend on the gridiron – enjoy!
Jaguars (+2.5) at Bears
Last week, I told a friend that the Jags might be the best 0-4 team in NFL history. They’re just too talented to be winless, and it had me scratching my head. While they nearly gave away the game against the Colts, they finally got in the win column. I think that win could be the spark they need to start a streak. On the flip side, despite demolishing the Panthers, I remain unimpressed by Chicago. Even with the big point total, they still rank 26th in the league in total yards at just 287 per game. Jacksonville’s defense has struggled, but I expect them to step up just enough to keep it close and pull out a win. Take the Jags and the points.
The Pick: Jaguars +2.5
Colts at Titans (-1)
While it’s just a point, I love the value in taking the home underdog here. Yes, Indy is 4-1 ATS this season, and their offense might actually be better with Joe Flacco under center instead of Anthony Richardson. But there’s something about this Titans team that feels like they’re ready to break out. Despite their struggles on offense—averaging only 256 yards per game—and leading the league in turnovers with more than two per game, Indy has its own turnover issues. I’m banking on Tennessee’s top-ranked defense in terms of yardage allowed to make the difference. Plus, while the Titans’ offense has been subpar, the Colts’ defense is dead last in the NFL, which could be just what Tennessee needs to get rolling. I actually will like this bet even more if Mason Rudolph gets the start over Will Levis, but I’m confident regardless of which of those two is under center. Give me the home dog Titans, as I expect them to pull off the win.
The Pick: Titans -1
Chargers (-2) at Broncos
I’m going against another 4-1 ATS team this week in Denver. Despite LA’s offensive struggles, they’ve been careful with the ball, turning it over only once every two games. I was tempted to bet the under at 36.5, given we have two bad offenses facing off against top-tier defenses—Denver’s ranked in the top 3, and the Chargers’ defense sitting at 5th. However, I think the Justin Herbert-led Chargers offense is primed for a breakout, especially after the bye week to rest and adjust. Denver’s lack of discipline, averaging over 7 penalties per game, could give the Chargers more chances to capitalize. I’m backing LA to kick off a mid-season surge starting this Sunday.
The Pick: Chargers -2
